Norway population outlook: 2025–2050
Norway: 5.59 million people in the 2025 baseline and 6.17 million in the rebased 2050 scenario (+10.3%). Explore migration, births and deaths.
From baseline to 2050
| Measure | 2025 · Baseline estimate | 2050 · Rebased projection |
|---|---|---|
| Population | 5.59 million | 6.17 million |
| Annual net migration | 31k | 24k |
| Annual natural balance | 6k | -12k |
The scenario implies a 10.3% increase from the dashboard’s 2025 baseline. In 2050, migration contributes 24 thousand people and births minus deaths contribute -12 thousand, for an annual net balance of 12 thousand.
Sources and interpretation
EUROPOP2025 · annual baseline. Births, deaths and net migration use annual baseline projections. Population is rebased to this dashboard’s 2025 estimate and accumulated from rounded annual balances. Scenario, not forecast.
The 2025 baseline is this dashboard’s estimate. Future population is accumulated from rounded annual balances, so these values can differ from the publisher’s original population series. These projections describe scenarios, not forecasts. The 35 tracked countries are not an exact geographic total for Europe.
Map: Natural Earth, public domain. Dataset and rebasing details: Demographic sources and methods.