Ukraine population outlook: 2025–2050
Ukraine: 37.86 million people in the 2025 baseline and 29.82 million in the rebased 2050 scenario (-21.2%). Explore migration, births and deaths.
From baseline to 2050
| Measure | 2025 · Baseline estimate | 2050 · Rebased projection |
|---|---|---|
| Population | 37.86 million | 29.82 million |
| Annual net migration | -110k | -3k |
| Annual natural balance | -413k | -348k |
The scenario implies a 21.2% decrease from the dashboard’s 2025 baseline. In 2050, migration contributes -3 thousand people and births minus deaths contribute -348 thousand, for an annual net balance of -351 thousand.
Sources and interpretation
UN WPP 2024 · Medium variant. Births, deaths and net migration use UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium variant baseline projections. Population is rebased to this dashboard’s 2025 estimate and accumulated from rounded annual balances. Scenario, not forecast.
The 2025 baseline is this dashboard’s estimate. Future population is accumulated from rounded annual balances, so these values can differ from the publisher’s original population series. These projections describe scenarios, not forecasts. The 35 tracked countries are not an exact geographic total for Europe.
Map: Natural Earth, public domain. Dataset and rebasing details: Demographic sources and methods.